Nov 6, 2012 9:00am EST
. in higher third of unemployment. what else is dark? california is dark. these are safe democratic states. where is unemployment low? from north dakota down to oklahoma none of that is going for obama. only one place perhaps. virginia is a potential swing state and also wisconsin. maybe that low rate is a precondition for obama to potentially win it. let's look at the change. again, very similar. darker is less change. less improving unemployment. new york, not a good state for change of unemployment over the last year but probably safely in the obama camp. the one place you might want to look here, nevada, florida, north carolina and virginia. those are all potentially in play because they had some improvement in the unemployment rate and if that had not been there, they might have been for romney. i would like to give you a definitive answer. you have the level of unemployment and you have the change. that's what makes this a horse race, simon. >> it's fascinating to see that the way you slice and dice going into the election whether it's turnout or amazing. steve, thank you very much.
Nov 6, 2012 6:00am EST
companies. i see so many small businesses, i was out in california yesterday, i must have met in four days with eight of our companies, and i asked every one of them, what impact does this have? what difference is it going to make whether romney wins or obama? i honestly believe it's almost a neutral element in terms of the young companies. when they are growing and they are excited and their product is being taken up, and most of them that i'm dealing with are internet or wireless based, it's an environment you don't stop hiring. in fact they have big open to buys. >> so what does affect those companies? what are they looking at beyond their own home base? >> i think the general environment will have an impact. i think that the tone of the top will have an impact. i think my personal feeling, the biggest impact for the kind of companies i'm in are what happens for advertising expenditures. i think advertising and advertising -- >> you talked about immigration policy as well. >> sorry, thank you, thank you. immigration policy is getting the kind of people, everyone is frustrated with the i